The only thing you need to worry about is picking the winner of the game. That’s a bottom-line business as well, and a moneyline bet is the most cut and dried of them all. That’s when it’s time to analyze what happened and why.Īll of that translates over quite nicely to sports betting too. Once the game plays out and the final whistle blows, the result is in the books and there’s a winner and a loser.
Heading into a game, there’s plenty of time to research in a bid to figure out what may happen. Odds may now differ.A good part of the enormous appeal of sports is that it is a results-oriented business. They own a 4-2 record against the Giants so far this season, and with this likely to be a low-scoring game, it’s worth noting that San Francisco is just 10-16 in one-run contests this term. It’s always difficult to pick between two slumping teams, but we’ve got to lean towards the Padres here. Gabe Kapler has not been able to rely on his back-end arms in the same way as last year. Camilo Doval nearly blew it after a ninth-inning rally on Wednesday. Some of those bats have cooled off more recently, yet we feel better about the Padres offence against Webb than the Giants offence against Musgrove.Įven if Webb puts San Francisco in position to win, it’s difficult to have any confidence in their bullpen closing it out. Manny Machado brings the starpower, and he was ably supported by Nomar Mazara, Luke Voit, Jake Cronenworth and Jorge Alfaro in June. Still, this offence is slightly better than their struggles against the Dodgers and Mariners suggest. Such regression was expected, having ranked in the bottom 10 in team xwOBA all year. The Friars have only scored 12 runs in their last six games. In contrast, San Diego is the 10 th best offence in the league when facing righties over the same period. They are still working a good amount of walks, but that’s not going to be easy when facing Musgrove, who has just a 5.3% walk rate. The Giants have a team mark of 97 wRC+ against right handers since the end of May, putting them in the bottom 11 in the Majors.
With little between the starters, it’s the offences which show the real difference between the teams of late. San Francisco is still 10-6 in Webb’s starts, while the Padres have won 11 of the 14 games Musgrove has been on the mound for. The season-long numbers remain stellar for both pitchers, however, and it’s fair to assume that these are minor bumps in the road rather than a meaningful downturn. Webb gave up six hits and three runs when facing the Chicago White Sox in the last time through the Giants’ rotation.
Musgrove allowed six earned runs to the Phillies then three to the Dodgers. While San Diego’s Thursday starter has an ERA almost a run better than Webb’s mark, San Francisco’s young star has the advantage in FIP and is less than 0.5 of a run behind by 圎RA.īoth pitchers come into this game off some tricky outings. Musgrove is seventh in fWAR among National League pitchers, just one spot ahead of Webb. It’s an ace-off in southern California with probable All-Star Logan Webb matching up with Cy Young candidate Joe Musgrove. San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Best Bet
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